Daily till Ajit Doval’s vist of BRICS nation to China. And since then once in 2 days, China state run media the Global Times has been issuing WAR threats to India.
The Doklam area under dispute is very sensitive issue for the India and it’s army. China is building Road in this remote area. India Army has since the beginning has taken firm stand against this road project. Even though China is building this road in it’s on territory according to Bidu map India has legitimate reason to oppose any such construction. 1st this road project is not far from India’s Siliguri corridor which is the narrow strip of land connecting North-East with rest of India. If China engages in road or any other sort of construction in the area it will directly affect India’s Military ability to protect it’s northeastern state. China always wanted a piece of India’s north eastern state. in Indo-China war of 1962 even after winning some part of India state Arunachal Pradesh China had to pull back it’s forces because there was no road to establish supply chain from Tibet. So if this time China build a road they might be able to hold on their position. And India will have hard time defending it’s states as well as dependent nation Bhutan.
During the cold war of 1962 Russia (then USSR) wanted to build a Missile base in Cuba. USA had launched extreme opposition to that plan. So much so that both countries were ready to go for war. Today China is arguing that whatever we do in our territory is our business. But at the same time opposing installation of US made THAAD in South Korea. Even though THAAD is aimed against threat of North Korea it will hamper Military capability of China. Hence India has same ground to oppose China for Road construction as China has to oppose South Korea.
If this conflict escalate will there be war?
China has army of 2.2 million standing. India has 1.4 million. But recently China has declared to reduce it’s army by 1 million. Ans savings made on salary will be spent on modernization and up-gradation of Military Machine. Recently speaking in a function of 70th PLA anniversary Chinese President said that “China need its army more than ever” This raises the doubts about preparedness of Chinese Military called PLA. The last battle faught by PLA was in 1979 against Vietnam. People’s Army of Vietnam was inferior in equipment and and lesser in numbers. But still it delivered a might blow to PLA. Hence even after 1 month since incidence first reported china has done nothing but issuing war threat from it’s news papers. China is constantly asking India to remove it’s soldiers from the position. What it really meaent is “Let us build our road”. And India is not ready to compromise. When Indian defense minister Arun Jaitley said “This is not India of 192” What he really meant was “We are not ready for compromise”.
Currently China is only testing preparedness of India. Even if China build the road it doesn’t mean there will be war in next decade. But this is just to test preparedness of Indian Army and Indian counselor in foreign embassies. Currently no country has openly supported China in this conflict. This is why China’s response is comparatively mild.
Some people are linking this issue with 19th National Congres of CCP to be conducted in November this year. But I think Xi is very well prepared for November and all set to be back in power.
The Doklam area under dispute is very sensitive issue for the India and it’s army. China is building Road in this remote area. India Army has since the beginning has taken firm stand against this road project. Even though China is building this road in it’s on territory according to Bidu map India has legitimate reason to oppose any such construction. 1st this road project is not far from India’s Siliguri corridor which is the narrow strip of land connecting North-East with rest of India. If China engages in road or any other sort of construction in the area it will directly affect India’s Military ability to protect it’s northeastern state. China always wanted a piece of India’s north eastern state. in Indo-China war of 1962 even after winning some part of India state Arunachal Pradesh China had to pull back it’s forces because there was no road to establish supply chain from Tibet. So if this time China build a road they might be able to hold on their position. And India will have hard time defending it’s states as well as dependent nation Bhutan.
During the cold war of 1962 Russia (then USSR) wanted to build a Missile base in Cuba. USA had launched extreme opposition to that plan. So much so that both countries were ready to go for war. Today China is arguing that whatever we do in our territory is our business. But at the same time opposing installation of US made THAAD in South Korea. Even though THAAD is aimed against threat of North Korea it will hamper Military capability of China. Hence India has same ground to oppose China for Road construction as China has to oppose South Korea.
If this conflict escalate will there be war?
China has army of 2.2 million standing. India has 1.4 million. But recently China has declared to reduce it’s army by 1 million. Ans savings made on salary will be spent on modernization and up-gradation of Military Machine. Recently speaking in a function of 70th PLA anniversary Chinese President said that “China need its army more than ever” This raises the doubts about preparedness of Chinese Military called PLA. The last battle faught by PLA was in 1979 against Vietnam. People’s Army of Vietnam was inferior in equipment and and lesser in numbers. But still it delivered a might blow to PLA. Hence even after 1 month since incidence first reported china has done nothing but issuing war threat from it’s news papers. China is constantly asking India to remove it’s soldiers from the position. What it really meaent is “Let us build our road”. And India is not ready to compromise. When Indian defense minister Arun Jaitley said “This is not India of 192” What he really meant was “We are not ready for compromise”.
Currently China is only testing preparedness of India. Even if China build the road it doesn’t mean there will be war in next decade. But this is just to test preparedness of Indian Army and Indian counselor in foreign embassies. Currently no country has openly supported China in this conflict. This is why China’s response is comparatively mild.
Some people are linking this issue with 19th National Congres of CCP to be conducted in November this year. But I think Xi is very well prepared for November and all set to be back in power.
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